Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.368974 10.533057 11.861763 13.507979 15.517629 17.924786 21.079267
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.587118 9.060297 10.908405 13.463251 17.018616 21.988293 29.870959
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.569320 8.141504 10.235236 13.349945 18.110777 25.614657 39.660426
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.046731 7.727255 10.080915 13.815769 20.043914 31.108100 55.978782
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.395524 7.026069 9.382571 13.280581 20.172408 33.506213 68.116942
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.862513 6.423118 8.733540 12.682002 20.001528 35.224613 80.326380
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.473422 5.986565 8.276873 12.312352 20.141924 37.651104 97.554917
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.212066 5.713260 8.038629 12.271251 20.903061 41.877158 127.881671
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.180283 5.784300 8.356400 13.277426 24.142017 54.537151 233.126647
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.076260 5.728922 8.452574 13.879080 26.693822 67.489422 429.745742
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.894087 5.530234 8.276973 13.904481 27.846709 76.815819 723.937438
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.759728 5.398559 8.204492 14.129905 29.616944 90.741380 1609.816418
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.532150 5.111564 7.854057 13.774043 29.876216 99.574997 3700.079111
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.357931 4.906078 7.641177 13.709239 31.079274 116.359898 32691.285333
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.196199 4.708927 7.422434 13.591830 32.100930 135.017096 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.115648 4.646016 7.452749 14.070287 35.408514 181.844937 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.936836 4.396078 7.091263 13.520536 34.752148 191.903876 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.766901 4.152374 6.723536 12.906012 33.661055 195.827837 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.633761 3.967636 6.460600 12.526698 33.402738 210.988738 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.543098 3.854579 6.333829 12.484532 34.542548 252.793438 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.552939 3.925293 6.590394 13.517295 41.062479 467.879005 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.523423 3.920445 6.687512 14.135335 46.277487 835.017154 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.450346 3.828529 6.587980 14.161435 48.430107 1220.959855 NaN